Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MacKenzie Gore
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.94 · WHIP 1.32 · K 27% · 11 starts
MACKENZIE GORE
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
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MACKENZIE
GORE
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam52%95 mph
Changeup19%86 mph
Slider12%86 mph
Curveball11%81 mph
Sinker6%95 mph
Matchup
VS CHW LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.94
WHIP
1.32
K%
27%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 29% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .347 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 13% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.8
K/GM
5.3
IP/GM
2.70
ERA
1.39
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
27% season K rate
Contact Suppression
13% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.70 ERA · 25% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHW—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
10 281°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:41 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.