Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Marcelo Mayer
Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
21
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Shane Baz · RHP
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Velo
90.3
Whiff%
21%
xwOBA-a
.358
Career vs Shane Baz: 4 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.500
OPS
1.750
HR
0
H
1
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.8
Barrel%
3.4%
Hard Hit%
28%
Sweet Spot%
26%
xwOBA
0.243
xSLG
0.318
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
54%
15/28 games
AVG
.250
OBP
.300
SLG
.250
OPS
.550
HR
0
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cleveland Guardians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Marcelo Mayer
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.5 mph
Avg LA
8.5°
Hard-hit %
37%
Barrel %
8%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
4Single
19Out
75Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.