Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Marcus Semien
New York Mets · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
62
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Logan Gilbert · RHP · 89.6 mph avg
ERA
2.94
WHIP
0.80
K%
26%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.9
94.4
Barrel%
14.3%
18.8%
Hard Hit%
36%
50%
xwOBA
.432
.394
xSLG
.661
.533
Whiff%
19%
21%
Chase%
27%
19%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Logan Gilbert.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.9
Barrel%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.432
xSLG
0.661
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
58%
14/24 games
AVG
.242
OBP
.306
SLG
.545
OPS
.851
HR
3
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Miami Marlins | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Marcus Semien
New York Mets · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
84.4 mph
Avg LA
17.1°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
4Single
22Out
70Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.