MARTÍN PÉREZ

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MARTÍN

PÉREZ

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker37%89 mph

Changeup33%81 mph

Cutter19%85 mph

Curveball7%76 mph

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

2.40

WHIP

1.35

K%

16%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	8.5%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.383	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	34%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.4

K/GM

5.3

IP/GM

2.73

ERA

1.52

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

16% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 34% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 2.73 ERA · 14% K

3

4

6

3

2

3

2

6

3

4

2

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-8%

Hits

-3%

2B

-15%

3B

+16%

K

+3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

70°

Wind

7 39°

Rain

7%

HR Adj

-18%

K Adj

+2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 8:58 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.