Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Mason Adams
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.00 · WHIP 1.44 · K 26% · 2 starts

MASON ADAMS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
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Win
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ER
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H
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MASON
ADAMS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS ATL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.44
K%
26%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .356 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 10% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 30% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
4.5
IP/GM
3.00
ERA
1.44
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
26% season K rate
Contact Suppression
10% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
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Model Prob
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Fair Odds
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EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 2 starts
0 of 2 starts over
Last 5: 3.00 ERA · 26% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs ATL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
6 117°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 4:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
