Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 4:04 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Mason Adams

Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves · confirmed starter · Pitcher

ERA 3.00 · WHIP 1.44 · K 26% · 2 starts

Mongoose Bets
MASON ADAMS
K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Mason Adams
MASON
ADAMS
K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS ATL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.44
K%
26%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%21%25%
SwStr%9.3%11%
Chase%32%28%
xwOBA-a.356.315
Barrel%-a10%8%
HardHit%-a30%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
4.5
IP/GM
3.00
ERA
1.44
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
26% season K rate
Contact Suppression
10% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 2 starts
0 of 2 starts over
Last 5: 3.00 ERA · 26% K
5
5
Season
Home
Last 5
vs ATL
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
6 117°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 4:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.