MASON BARNETT

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MASON

BARNETT

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam52%95 mph

Matchup

VS HOU LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

44

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

10.36

WHIP

2.16

K%

16%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	13%	25%
SwStr%	5.1%	11%
Chase%	23%	28%
xwOBA-a	.389	.315
Barrel%-a	0%	8%
HardHit%-a	50%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.8

K/GM

3.9

IP/GM

10.24

ERA

2.22

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

16% season K rate

Contact Suppression

0% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 10.24 ERA · 19% K

2

2

6

7

2

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs HOU—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

+3%

2B

+5%

3B

0%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

77°

Wind

8 197°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:15 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.