MASON BARNETT

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MASON

BARNETT

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam50%95 mph

Slider22%86 mph

Sweeper17%83 mph

Matchup

VS MIN LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

1

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

8.15

WHIP

1.86

K%

18%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	14%	25%
SwStr%	5.4%	11%
Chase%	23%	28%
xwOBA-a	.468	.315
Barrel%-a	14%	8%
HardHit%-a	61%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

0.4

K/GM

1.3

IP/GM

12.15

ERA

2.25

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

18% season K rate

Contact Suppression

14% barrel · 61% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 12 starts

0 of 12 starts over

Last 5: 12.15 ERA · 6% K

2

2

1

1

1

3

1

2

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIN—

Tonight's Park

HR

+7%

Hits

+1%

2B

+10%

3B

+10%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

94°

Wind

6 44°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+25%

K Adj

-4%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:38 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.