Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Mason Fluharty
Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 0.00 · WHIP 0.13 · K 21% · 10 starts
MASON FLUHARTY
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
MASON
FLUHARTY
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Cutter52%91 mph
Sweeper40%82 mph
Matchup
VS NYY LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
95
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.13
K%
21%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.9% | 11% |
| Chase% | 39% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .179 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 4% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 26% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.2
K/GM
0.8
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
21% season K rate
Contact Suppression
4% barrel · 26% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 8% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs NYY—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
7 66°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-18%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:29 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.