Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Masyn Winn
St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
45
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Nathan Eovaldi · RHP · 87.2 mph avg
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.78
K%
26%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.6
86.9
Barrel%
4.5%
15.8%
Hard Hit%
36%
32%
xwOBA
.315
.421
xSLG
.405
.685
Whiff%
21%
27%
Chase%
23%
27%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Nathan Eovaldi.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.6
Barrel%
4.5%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
28%
xwOBA
0.315
xSLG
0.405
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
52%
11/21 games
AVG
.156
OBP
.229
SLG
.250
OPS
.479
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Chicago Cubs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/26 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cincinnati Reds | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Masyn Winn
St. Louis Cardinals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.5 mph
Avg LA
10.6°
Hard-hit %
29%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
2Double
6Single
24Out
66Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.