Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MASYN WINN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MASYN
WINN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
58
Grade C
Matchup
VS Landen Roupp · RHP
88.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
60
VS
ERA
3.56
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.7 | 84.2 |
| Barrel% | 12% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 38% | 29% |
| xwOBA | .418 | .345 |
| xSLG | .632 | .515 |
| Whiff% | 31% | 20% |
| Chase% | 20% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.7 avg EV · 11.5% barrel · 38% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Roupp—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
6 264°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:58 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game