Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
MATT MCLAIN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MATT
MCLAIN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
44
Grade D
Matchup
VS Yohan Ramírez · RHP
90.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
53
VS
ERA
0.75
WHIP
1.75
K%
25%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 77.1 | 86.2 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 32% |
| xwOBA | .121 | .332 |
| xSLG | .149 | .462 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 24% |
| Chase% | 38% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
77.1 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ramírez0
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
4 26°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-13%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:07 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game