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Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 10:29 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Mongoose Bets
MAX KEPLER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Max Kepler
MAX
KEPLER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo79.2Barrel%0%Hard Hit%50%xwOBA.155Sweet Spot%50%Whiff%17%Chase%50%
Matchup
VS Cole Sulser · RHP
88.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
Terrible
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
2.00
K%
11%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo79.283.9
Barrel%0%0%
Hard Hit%50%40%
xwOBA.155.246
xSLG.190.302
Whiff%17%28%
Chase%50%36%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
79.2 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sulser0
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
-3%
2B
-11%
3B
+31%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:33 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game