MAX SCHERZER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MAX

SCHERZER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam46%94 mph

Matchup

VS BOS LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

58

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

13.50

WHIP

2.06

K%

13%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	25%	25%
SwStr%	13.4%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.286	.315
Barrel%-a	9%	8%
HardHit%-a	45%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.0

K/GM

3.2

IP/GM

13.50

ERA

2.06

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

13% season K rate

Contact Suppression

9% barrel · 45% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 13.50 ERA · 13% K

2

3

1

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BOS—

Tonight's Park

HR

-9%

Hits

+8%

2B

+24%

3B

-6%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

76°

Wind

9 193°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:13 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.