MAX SCHERZER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MAX

SCHERZER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam43%94 mph

Changeup28%84 mph

Matchup

VS STL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

40

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

9.49

WHIP

1.82

K%

15%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	15%	25%
SwStr%	8.0%	11%
Chase%	29%	28%
xwOBA-a	.388	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	13%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.4

K/GM

3.3

IP/GM

12.42

ERA

2.22

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

15% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 13% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 7 starts

0 of 7 starts over

Last 5: 12.42 ERA · 14% K

4

2

3

1

4

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs STL—

Tonight's Park

HR

0%

Hits

-2%

2B

+9%

3B

-31%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 8:43 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.