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Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants · Pitcher
ERA 4.05 · WHIP 1.42 · K 19% · 11 starts
MERRILL KELLY
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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MERRILL
KELLY
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam30%92 mph
Changeup30%88 mph
Curveball12%83 mph
Sinker10%92 mph
Slider9%86 mph
Cutter8%91 mph
Matchup
VS SF LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.05
WHIP
1.42
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.2% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .417 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 10% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.8
K/GM
5.5
IP/GM
5.27
ERA
1.46
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
10% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
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Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
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EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 5.27 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SF—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
67°
Wind
8 264°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 8:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.