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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
MICHAEL BUSCH
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Michael Busch
MICHAEL
BUSCH
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
58
Grade C
Exit Velo90.6Barrel%15%Hard Hit%45%xwOBA.383Sweet Spot%35%Whiff%29%Chase%25%
Matchup
VS Reynaldo López · RHP
88.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
69
Good
VS
ERA
4.30
WHIP
1.30
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo90.684.6
Barrel%15%7%
Hard Hit%45%33%
xwOBA.383.473
xSLG.605.685
Whiff%29%26%
Chase%25%33%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.6 avg EV · 15.2% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs López0
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
5 313°
Rain
97%
HR Adj
-9%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game