Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Michael Conforto
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
76
B+
Tonight's Matchup
90
Matchup
Smash spot
vs Gage Jump · 91.5 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
95.3
92.5
Barrel%
27.3%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
64%
39%
xwOBA
.494
.352
xSLG
.808
.485
Whiff%
27%
24%
Chase%
23%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
95.3
Barrel%
27.3%
Hard Hit%
64%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.494
xSLG
0.808
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
40%
8/20 games
Last 30
47%
14/30 games
AVG
.087
OBP
.160
SLG
.261
OPS
.421
HR
1
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Milwaukee Brewers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Michael Conforto
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
95.1 mph
Avg LA
20.1°
Hard-hit %
57%
Barrel %
28%
Outcomes (47 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
9Single
8Out
27Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.