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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
MICHAEL HARRIS
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Michael Harris
MICHAEL
HARRIS
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
48
Grade D
Exit Velo87.0Barrel%13%Hard Hit%36%xwOBA.372Sweet Spot%40%Whiff%20%Chase%48%
Matchup
VS Brandon Williamson · LHP
88.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
63
Average
VS
ERA
5.56
WHIP
1.53
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo87.086.9
Barrel%13%13%
Hard Hit%36%42%
xwOBA.372.394
xSLG.539.603
Whiff%20%22%
Chase%48%23%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.0 avg EV · 12.5% barrel · 36% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Williamson
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
2 357°
Rain
33%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:06 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game