Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MICHAEL MASSEY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MICHAEL
MASSEY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
69
Grade B-
Matchup
VS Sandy Alcantara · RHP
92.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
47
VS
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.06
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.6 | 86.4 |
| Barrel% | 13% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 38% | 31% |
| xwOBA | .385 | .284 |
| xSLG | .568 | .389 |
| Whiff% | 16% | 16% |
| Chase% | 38% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.6 avg EV · 12.7% barrel · 38% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Alcantara—
Tonight's Park
HR
-15%
Hits
+5%
2B
+16%
3B
+76%
K
-12%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
97°
Wind
8 190°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:09 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game