Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MICKEY MONIAK
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MICKEY
MONIAK
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
51
Grade C-
Matchup
VS Michael Soroka · RHP
88.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
31
VS
ERA
3.65
WHIP
0.99
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.9 | 84.7 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 36% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .321 | .356 |
| xSLG | .452 | .498 |
| Whiff% | 34% | 27% |
| Chase% | 53% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.9 avg EV · 9.4% barrel · 36% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Soroka0
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+16%
2B
+17%
3B
+103%
K
-8%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
4 86°
Rain
26%
HR Adj
-4%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:58 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game