Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miguel Amaya
Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
32
F
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.0
Barrel%
8.0%
Hard Hit%
28%
Sweet Spot%
40%
xwOBA
0.268
xSLG
0.379
Recent Games
Last 5
0%
0/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
40%
8/20 games
Last 30
40%
12/30 games
AVG
.182
OBP
.250
SLG
.364
OPS
.614
HR
1
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Houston Astros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/16 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Miguel Amaya
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.8 mph
Avg LA
19.5°
Hard-hit %
27%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (49 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
1Single
12Out
33Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/22/2026 - 5/30/2026
Games: 5
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
6Exit Velo
72.5 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
14.3%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
28.6%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.210
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
14.3%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: No standout metrics
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
103.4 mph
Launch Angle
11.1°
xBA
0.216
xSLG
0.257
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
42.9%
Fly Ball%
42.9%
Line Drive%
14.3%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.