Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Mike Trout
Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
69
B-
Tonight's Matchup
94
Matchup
Smash spot
vs Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP · 88.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.17
K%
9%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.6
94.3
Barrel%
18.2%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
48%
56%
xwOBA
.406
.512
xSLG
.641
.773
Whiff%
21%
10%
Chase%
18%
20%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.500
OPS
2.667
HR
1
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.6
Barrel%
18.2%
Hard Hit%
48%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.406
xSLG
0.641
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
57%
12/21 games
AVG
.286
OBP
.457
SLG
.543
OPS
.999
HR
2
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Mike Trout
Los Angeles Angels · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
92.4 mph
Avg LA
18.8°
Hard-hit %
55%
Barrel %
24%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
9Triple
0Double
9Single
20Out
62Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.