Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Mitch Bratt
Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.54 · WHIP 1.56 · K 16% · 9 starts
MITCH BRATT
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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MITCH
BRATT
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam43%91 mph
Slurve25%80 mph
Changeup11%85 mph
Slider8%87 mph
Sinker8%91 mph
Matchup
VS CIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.54
WHIP
1.56
K%
16%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 15% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 6.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 22% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .281 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 34% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.6
K/GM
4.8
IP/GM
3.38
ERA
1.29
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
16% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 34% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 9 starts
0 of 9 starts over
Last 5: 3.38 ERA · 18% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
-14%
Hits
+6%
2B
+16%
3B
+89%
K
-6%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 3:23 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.