Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
NATE EATON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
NATE
EATON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Randy Dobnak · RHP
87.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
31
VS
ERA
2.67
WHIP
1.31
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.8 | 88.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .207 | .389 |
| xSLG | .264 | .537 |
| Whiff% | 13% | 21% |
| Chase% | 20% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Dobnak—
Tonight's Park
HR
-9%
Hits
+8%
2B
+24%
3B
-6%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
7 130°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:55 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game