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MLB / Research
NATHAN CHURCH
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
NATHAN
CHURCH
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
47
Grade D
Matchup
VS Landen Roupp · RHP
88.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
5
VS
ERA
3.57
WHIP
1.28
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 83.1 | 84.8 |
| Barrel% | 3% | 5% |
| Hard Hit% | 27% | 26% |
| xwOBA | .288 | .259 |
| xSLG | .386 | .349 |
| Whiff% | 11% | 17% |
| Chase% | 31% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.1 avg EV · 2.7% barrel · 27% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Roupp0
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
12 353°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
+6%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game