NATHAN EOVALDI

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

NATHAN

EOVALDI

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Splitter45%88 mph

Curveball19%75 mph

4-Seam16%94 mph

Cutter15%89 mph

Matchup

VS MIN LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

43

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

5.05

WHIP

1.34

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	18%	25%
SwStr%	8.5%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.355	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	41%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.2

K/GM

2.8

IP/GM

3.86

ERA

1.21

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.86 ERA · 10% K

9

10

2

8

5

2

2

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIN—

Tonight's Park

HR

+7%

Hits

+1%

2B

+10%

3B

+10%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

63°

Wind

10 137°

Rain

100%

HR Adj

-10%

K Adj

-1%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:16 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.