Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
NICK MORABITO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
NICK
MORABITO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Matt Wilkinson · LHP
86.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
67
VS
ERA
4.63
WHIP
1.11
K%
13%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 86.9 | 89.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 49% |
| xwOBA | .589 | .332 |
| xSLG | .708 | .491 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 13% |
| Chase% | 17% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
86.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Wilkinson—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
11 313°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:07 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game