NICK PIVETTA

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

NICK

PIVETTA

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam37%94 mph

Curveball35%78 mph

Matchup

VS SF LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

40

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.43

WHIP

0.95

K%

31%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	0%	25%
SwStr%	0.0%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.407	.315
Barrel%-a	20%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.2

K/GM

4.2

IP/GM

3.43

ERA

0.95

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

31% season K rate

Contact Suppression

20% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 3.43 ERA · 31% K

4

8

8

4

2

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SF—

Tonight's Park

HR

-20%

Hits

+1%

2B

+3%

3B

+33%

K

-3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

16 282°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+21%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:46 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.