Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Nick Sogard
Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
32
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Shane Baz · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
76.3
96.5
Barrel%
0.0%
11.1%
Hard Hit%
17%
56%
xwOBA
.295
.358
xSLG
.367
.475
Whiff%
17%
21%
Chase%
23%
33%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Shane Baz.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
76.3
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
17%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.295
xSLG
0.367
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
63%
19/30 games
AVG
.250
OBP
.344
SLG
.357
OPS
.701
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Cleveland Guardians | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Nick Sogard
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.7 mph
Avg LA
15.9°
Hard-hit %
22%
Barrel %
22%
Outcomes (9 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
1Double
1Single
0Out
7Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.