Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
NICK SOGARD
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
NICK
SOGARD
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
32
Grade F
Matchup
VS Edgardo Henriquez · RHP
95.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
21
VS
ERA
2.89
WHIP
1.39
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.9 | 93.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 0% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 50% |
| xwOBA | .508 | .342 |
| xSLG | .649 | .430 |
| Whiff% | 40% | 19% |
| Chase% | 40% | 6% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Henriquez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
86°
Wind
5 210°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:52 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game