Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Nicky Lopez
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Tonight's Matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
83.1
85.2
Barrel%
5.6%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
22%
43%
xwOBA
.302
.286
xSLG
.388
.415
Whiff%
24%
33%
Chase%
34%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Dustin May.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.1
Barrel%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
22%
Sweet Spot%
44%
xwOBA
0.302
xSLG
0.388
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
40%
4/10 games
Last 30
40%
4/10 games
AVG
.269
OBP
.296
SLG
.385
OPS
.681
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/9 | Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/5 | Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/28 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Nicky Lopez
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
78.8 mph
Avg LA
0.8°
Hard-hit %
18%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (11 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
4Out
7Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.