Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Nico Hoerner
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
41
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Gage Jump · 91.5 mph avg
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.9
92.5
Barrel%
0.0%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
30%
39%
xwOBA
.295
.352
xSLG
.373
.485
Whiff%
10%
24%
Chase%
29%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.9
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
30%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.295
xSLG
0.373
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
61%
14/23 games
AVG
.195
OBP
.267
SLG
.195
OPS
.462
HR
0
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/29 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Nico Hoerner
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.9 mph
Avg LA
12.9°
Hard-hit %
27%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
5Single
16Out
79Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.