Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Nolan Arenado
Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
MG Score
66
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Eric Lauer · LHP
ERA
4.85
WHIP
1.27
K%
13%
Velo
86.6
Whiff%
11%
xwOBA-a
.368
Career vs Eric Lauer: 33 PA · Low sample
AB
27
AVG
.296
OPS
1.172
HR
4
H
8
K
4
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.5
Barrel%
10.3%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.369
xSLG
0.530
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
68%
13/19 games
Last 30
68%
13/19 games
AVG
.258
OBP
.303
SLG
.484
OPS
.787
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Seattle Mariners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Nolan Arenado
Arizona Diamondbacks · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.1 mph
Avg LA
18.8°
Hard-hit %
29%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
0Double
7Single
21Out
65Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.