Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Oneil Cruz
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
69
B-
Tonight's Matchup
71
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Mike Burrows · RHP · 89.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.32
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
95.5
86.7
Barrel%
16.4%
10.0%
Hard Hit%
57%
25%
xwOBA
.458
.365
xSLG
.705
.525
Whiff%
32%
15%
Chase%
33%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Mike Burrows.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
95.5
Barrel%
16.4%
Hard Hit%
57%
Sweet Spot%
31%
xwOBA
0.458
xSLG
0.705
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
56%
14/25 games
AVG
.242
OBP
.342
SLG
.515
OPS
.857
HR
3
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5/29 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/25 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Oneil Cruz
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
97.0 mph
Avg LA
7.8°
Hard-hit %
64%
Barrel %
24%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
6Triple
0Double
10Single
25Out
59Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.