Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
ONEIL CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ONEIL
CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Jackson Jobe · RHP
92.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
100
VS
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.38
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 107.7 | 91.0 |
| Barrel% | 100% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 48% |
| xwOBA | 1.986 | .487 |
| xSLG | 3.880 | .746 |
| Whiff% | 17% | 20% |
| Chase% | 0% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
107.7 avg EV · 100.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Jobe—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
8 255°
Rain
85%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:48 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game