Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
OSLEIVIS BASABE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
OSLEIVIS
BASABE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Kyle Hart · LHP
89.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
74
VS
ERA
6.14
WHIP
1.36
K%
25%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 98.1 | 84.4 |
| Barrel% | 40% | 6% |
| Hard Hit% | 80% | 25% |
| xwOBA | .560 | .282 |
| xSLG | .929 | .394 |
| Whiff% | 20% | 19% |
| Chase% | 46% | 36% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
98.1 avg EV · 40.0% barrel · 80% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Hart—
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
8 260°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:30 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game