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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Oswald Peraza

Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels

MG Score
59
C

Tonight's Matchup

vs Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP · 88.9 mph avg
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.17
K%
9%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
85.2
94.3
Barrel%
12.7%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
35%
56%
xwOBA
.411
.512
xSLG
.593
.773
Whiff%
25%
10%
Chase%
40%
20%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Tomoyuki Sugano.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
85.2
Barrel%
12.7%
Hard Hit%
35%
Sweet Spot%
40%
xwOBA
0.411
xSLG
0.593

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
60%
18/30 games
AVG
.342
OBP
.359
SLG
.526
OPS
.885
HR
2
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Colorado Rockies5200001
5/31Tampa Bay Rays4100010
5/30Tampa Bay Rays5211021
5/29Tampa Bay Rays4200010
5/28Detroit Tigers2000010
5/27Detroit Tigers3000010
5/26Detroit Tigers4100030
5/24Texas Rangers4100010
5/23Texas Rangers3102110
5/22Texas Rangers4311010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Oswald Peraza
Los Angeles Angels · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.5 mph
Avg LA
10.8°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
19%
Outcomes (93 balls)
Home Run
5
Triple
1
Double
6
Single
21
Out
60
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.