Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
OSWALDO CABRERA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
OSWALDO
CABRERA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Tarik Skubal · LHP
92.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
49
VS
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.02
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 77.7 | 91.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 23% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .248 | .414 |
| xSLG | .325 | .695 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 38% |
| Chase% | 20% | 50% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
77.7 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Skubal0
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
4 180°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game