Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
OSWALDO CABRERA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
OSWALDO
CABRERA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Chris Sale · LHP
89.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
VS
ERA
2.03
WHIP
0.81
K%
33%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.7 | 88.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 39% |
| xwOBA | .116 | .320 |
| xSLG | .132 | .481 |
| Whiff% | 25% | 26% |
| Chase% | 22% | 35% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.7 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sale0
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
5 97°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-18%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 5:56 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game