Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Owen Caissie
Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
MG Score
72
B
Tonight's Matchup
61
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Miles Mikolas · RHP · 89.6 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.42
WHIP
0.84
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
93.6
86.3
Barrel%
22.6%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
48%
25%
xwOBA
.437
.281
xSLG
.687
.412
Whiff%
34%
4%
Chase%
26%
22%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Miles Mikolas.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
93.6
Barrel%
22.6%
Hard Hit%
48%
Sweet Spot%
52%
xwOBA
0.437
xSLG
0.687
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
56%
14/25 games
AVG
.357
OBP
.400
SLG
.679
OPS
1.079
HR
2
RBI
11
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | New York Mets | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/29 | New York Mets | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Mets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/23 | New York Mets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Mets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Owen Caissie
Miami Marlins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.4 mph
Avg LA
16.3°
Hard-hit %
48%
Barrel %
22%
Outcomes (67 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
8Single
15Out
40Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.