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Paul Skenes
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.21 · WHIP 1.40 · K 28% · 11 starts
PAUL SKENES
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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PAUL
SKENES
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam44%97 mph
Sweeper16%85 mph
Slider13%87 mph
Sinker12%96 mph
Splitter10%92 mph
Matchup
VS SD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
5.21
WHIP
1.40
K%
28%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 13.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 24% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .441 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 19% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 47% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.2
K/GM
4.9
IP/GM
4.44
ERA
1.40
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
28% season K rate
Contact Suppression
19% barrel · 47% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.44 ERA · 25% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
89°
Wind
5 246°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:14 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.