Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pedro Ramírez
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs · in lineup
Tonight's Matchup
53
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Jeffrey Springs · LHP · 86.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
4.03
WHIP
1.28
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.9
87.7
Barrel%
0.0%
13.3%
Hard Hit%
57%
40%
xwOBA
.303
.457
xSLG
.371
.646
Whiff%
11%
26%
Chase%
27%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jeffrey Springs.
Tonight's Park · Wrigley Field
Suppresses HRHR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · overcast clouds
Neutral conditionsHR weather
0%
Temp
75°
Wind
6 cross
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.9
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
57%
Sweet Spot%
14%
xwOBA
0.303
xSLG
0.371
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
2/5 games
Last 20
40%
2/5 games
Last 30
40%
2/5 games
AVG
.286
OBP
.375
SLG
.429
OPS
.804
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/2 | Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Houston Astros | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Pedro Ramírez
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
94.4 mph
Avg LA
-2.7°
Hard-hit %
67%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (6 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
1Single
1Out
4Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/24/2026 - 5/25/2026
Games: 2
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
C+Performance Score
59Exit Velo
94.4 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
66.7%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
20.0%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.348
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
16.7%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Hard Hit%, Exit Velo
Areas for Improvement: Sweet Spot%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
105.4 mph
Launch Angle
-2.7°
xBA
0.379
xSLG
0.426
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
83.3%
Fly Ball%
N/A
Line Drive%
16.7%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.