Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
PEDRO RAMÍREZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
PEDRO
RAMÍREZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
39
Grade F
Matchup
VS Taj Bradley · RHP
93.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
36
VS
ERA
4.20
WHIP
1.24
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 85.2 | 88.7 |
| Barrel% | 6% | 10% |
| Hard Hit% | 41% | 39% |
| xwOBA | .334 | .314 |
| xSLG | .453 | .468 |
| Whiff% | 24% | 24% |
| Chase% | 41% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
85.2 avg EV · 5.9% barrel · 41% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bradley—
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
12 319°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
+10%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:15 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game