PETER LAMBERT

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

PETER

LAMBERT

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam33%93 mph

Changeup22%86 mph

Cutter12%91 mph

Slider10%85 mph

Sweeper9%84 mph

Sinker8%93 mph

Matchup

VS BAL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

70

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.34

WHIP

1.11

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	21%	25%
SwStr%	10.5%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.276	.315
Barrel%-a	10%	8%
HardHit%-a	29%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.6

K/GM

5.8

IP/GM

2.48

ERA

0.93

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

10% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 2.48 ERA · 24% K

6

5

3

4

6

5

6

4

6

7

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BAL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

0%

2B

-4%

3B

-14%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

89°

Wind

10 166°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-4%

K Adj

-0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:53 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.