Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RAFAEL DEVERS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RAFAEL
DEVERS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
68
Grade B-
Matchup
VS Bryce Elder · RHP
88.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
68
VS
ERA
5.24
WHIP
1.40
K%
19%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 95.2 | 86.3 |
| Barrel% | 16% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 52% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .382 | .343 |
| xSLG | .597 | .470 |
| Whiff% | 25% | 17% |
| Chase% | 31% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
95.2 avg EV · 15.6% barrel · 52% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Elder2
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
95°
Wind
6 54°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:03 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game