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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
RAFAEL FLORES JR.
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Rafael Flores Jr.
RAFAEL FLORES
JR.
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
59
Grade C
Exit Velo91.0Barrel%19%Hard Hit%49%xwOBA.429Sweet Spot%38%Whiff%29%Chase%33%
Matchup
VS Jacob Misiorowski · RHP
97.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
56
Average
VS
ERA
2.83
WHIP
0.84
K%
37%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo91.089.1
Barrel%19%11%
Hard Hit%49%32%
xwOBA.429.331
xSLG.676.460
Whiff%29%30%
Chase%33%30%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.0 avg EV · 18.9% barrel · 49% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Misiorowski
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
6 158°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:00 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game