Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Randy Arozarena
Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
49
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jonah Tong · 91.3 mph avg
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
91.9
88.6
Barrel%
11.5%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
42%
43%
xwOBA
.404
.363
xSLG
.582
.606
Whiff%
28%
18%
Chase%
34%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jonah Tong.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.9
Barrel%
11.5%
Hard Hit%
42%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.404
xSLG
0.582
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
67%
14/21 games
AVG
.214
OBP
.250
SLG
.357
OPS
.607
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | New York Mets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5/31 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/27 | Athletics | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Athletics | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Athletics | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Randy Arozarena
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.7 mph
Avg LA
9.1°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
1Double
10Single
27Out
58Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.