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Randy Dobnak
Kansas City Royals · Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.65 · WHIP 1.39 · K 16% · 11 starts
RANDY DOBNAK
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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RANDY
DOBNAK
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker39%91 mph
Sweeper25%82 mph
Changeup20%84 mph
4-Seam10%92 mph
Slider7%83 mph
Matchup
VS MIA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.65
WHIP
1.39
K%
16%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 19% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 8.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 30% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .355 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 36% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
5.3
IP/GM
4.39
ERA
1.61
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
16% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.39 ERA · 21% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIA—
Tonight's Park
HR
-15%
Hits
+5%
2B
+16%
3B
+76%
K
-12%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
99°
Wind
15 190°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 8:11 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.