Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
RAYNEL DELGADO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RAYNEL
DELGADO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS J.T. Ginn · RHP
90.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
28
VS
ERA
4.02
WHIP
1.30
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 96.6 | 85.7 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .167 | .340 |
| xSLG | .206 | .442 |
| Whiff% | 33% | 23% |
| Chase% | 50% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
96.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ginn—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
100°
Wind
10 210°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+21%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:09 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game