Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RECE HINDS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RECE
HINDS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Joey Cantillo · LHP
84.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
71
VS
ERA
4.14
WHIP
1.66
K%
26%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 103.6 | 87.1 |
| Barrel% | 100% | 5% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 40% |
| xwOBA | .563 | .312 |
| xSLG | .870 | .425 |
| Whiff% | 50% | 22% |
| Chase% | 25% | 24% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
103.6 avg EV · 100.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Cantillo0
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
6 74°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:02 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game