REID DETMERS

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

REID

DETMERS

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam46%94 mph

Slider35%86 mph

Curveball11%72 mph

Changeup8%84 mph

Matchup

VS DET LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

27

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.55

WHIP

1.06

K%

29%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	27%	25%
SwStr%	13.6%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.457	.315
Barrel%-a	16%	8%
HardHit%-a	46%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.2

K/GM

5.5

IP/GM

5.53

ERA

1.41

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

29% season K rate

Contact Suppression

16% barrel · 46% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 5.53 ERA · 21% K

8

14

7

6

9

3

4

8

5

6

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs DET—

Tonight's Park

HR

+13%

Hits

-2%

2B

-13%

3B

-3%

K

+5%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

76°

Wind

9 192°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 3:51 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.