Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Reid Detmers
Los Angeles Angels · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.95 · WHIP 1.10 · K 29% · 11 starts
REID DETMERS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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REID
DETMERS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam47%94 mph
Slider33%85 mph
Curveball11%72 mph
Changeup10%84 mph
Matchup
VS PHI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.95
WHIP
1.10
K%
29%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 29% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .352 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 42% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.8
K/GM
6.0
IP/GM
1.50
ERA
0.97
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
29% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 42% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 1.50 ERA · 26% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs PHI—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
11 214°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+23%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 1:20 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.