REYNALDO LÓPEZ

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

REYNALDO

LÓPEZ

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam57%95 mph

Slider30%84 mph

Curveball10%74 mph

Matchup

VS SF LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

69

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.74

WHIP

1.43

K%

21%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	21%	25%
SwStr%	9.2%	11%
Chase%	22%	28%
xwOBA-a	.334	.315
Barrel%-a	3%	8%
HardHit%-a	36%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

4.3

IP/GM

3.74

ERA

1.43

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

21% season K rate

Contact Suppression

3% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 3.74 ERA · 21% K

3

3

7

6

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SF—

Tonight's Park

HR

-20%

Hits

+1%

2B

+3%

3B

+33%

K

-3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

61°

Wind

15 258°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+9%

K Adj

-1%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:41 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.