Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Riley Greene
Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
59
C
Tonight's Matchup
100
Matchup
Smash spot
vs Steven Matz · LHP · 86.6 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
5.48
WHIP
1.43
K%
14%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
92.0
88.9
Barrel%
16.9%
28.6%
Hard Hit%
52%
50%
xwOBA
.423
.560
xSLG
.611
.796
Whiff%
28%
11%
Chase%
29%
25%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Steven Matz: 7 PA · Low sample
AB
7
AVG
.142
OPS
.429
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.0
Barrel%
16.9%
Hard Hit%
52%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.423
xSLG
0.611
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
79%
19/24 games
AVG
.231
OBP
.286
SLG
.333
OPS
.619
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Riley Greene
Detroit Tigers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.5 mph
Avg LA
18.8°
Hard-hit %
51%
Barrel %
22%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
11Single
32Out
52Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.