Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RILEY GREENE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RILEY
GREENE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
52
Grade C-
Matchup
VS Andrew Morris · RHP
96.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
70
VS
ERA
7.20
WHIP
1.90
K%
14%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 79.0 | 85.0 |
| Barrel% | 8% | 3% |
| Hard Hit% | 23% | 28% |
| xwOBA | .401 | .281 |
| xSLG | .574 | .369 |
| Whiff% | 34% | 21% |
| Chase% | 31% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
79.0 avg EV · 7.7% barrel · 23% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Morris0
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
8 240°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:20 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game