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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Rob Refsnyder

Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners · in lineup

MG Score
48
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
88.4
Barrel%
9.1%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
27%
xwOBA
0.292
xSLG
0.457

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
25%
5/20 games
Last 30
30%
9/30 games
AVG
.091
OBP
.091
SLG
.227
OPS
.318
HR
1
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/29Arizona Diamondbacks1000010
5/27Athletics3113000
5/26Athletics2100010
5/22Kansas City Royals3000030
5/20Chicago White Sox2000000
5/19Chicago White Sox4000030
5/18Chicago White Sox3000010
5/17San Diego Padres1001000
5/16San Diego Padres1000000
5/15San Diego Padres2000020

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Rob Refsnyder
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.5 mph
Avg LA
20.6°
Hard-hit %
34%
Barrel %
18%
Outcomes (44 balls)
Home Run
2
Triple
0
Double
0
Single
5
Out
37
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.