ROBERT STOCK

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ROBERT

STOCK

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Cutter32%92 mph

Matchup

VS PIT LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

47

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

1.80

WHIP

0.60

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	31%	25%
SwStr%	15.5%	11%
Chase%	29%	28%
xwOBA-a	.449	.315
Barrel%-a	14%	8%
HardHit%-a	43%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

5.0

IP/GM

1.80

ERA

0.60

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

14% barrel · 43% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 1 starts

0 of 1 starts over

Last 5: 1.80 ERA · 22% K

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs PIT—

Tonight's Park

HR

-20%

Hits

+1%

2B

+12%

3B

-23%

K

-4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

77°

Wind

4 205°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+3%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:53 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.