ROKI SASAKI

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ROKI

SASAKI

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam44%98 mph

Splitter35%90 mph

Slider21%87 mph

Matchup

VS NYY LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

21

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.99

WHIP

1.18

K%

25%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	11.3%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.391	.315
Barrel%-a	20%	8%
HardHit%-a	48%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

4.6

IP/GM

8.61

ERA

1.61

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

25% season K rate

Contact Suppression

20% barrel · 48% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 8.61 ERA · 19% K

5

8

4

7

10

4

6

2

3

5

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYY—

Tonight's Park

HR

+25%

Hits

-6%

2B

-8%

3B

-52%

K

+2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

76°

Wind

1 176°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 2:45 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.