Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RONALD ACUÑA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RONALD
ACUÑA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
59
Grade C
Matchup
VS Cristopher Sánchez · LHP
90.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
57
VS
ERA
3.55
WHIP
1.41
K%
26%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.3 | 87.3 |
| Barrel% | 12% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .379 | .340 |
| xSLG | .553 | .445 |
| Whiff% | 28% | 31% |
| Chase% | 32% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.3 avg EV · 12.0% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sánchez1
Tonight's Park
HR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
4 318°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game